Junior executive · member #1849
Nathan Nakamura
Joined 22 May 2026 via referral
Churn risk
Why this score
Every signed term the model added, heaviest first. Baselines are this member’s own history rather than the club average — a social member who visits twice a month has not disengaged, and comparing them to a full-golf cadence would manufacture a crisis.
- Still in the first two years+10
Joined 0.3 years ago; early-tenure members churn at the highest rate.
This score is arithmetic, not a language model. It is produced by churn model v1.2.0 — a versioned, unit-tested weighted sum evaluated as at 31 Aug 2026, the last date the dataset covers. Run it twice and you get the same number; run it next quarter after a weight changes and the version tells you why it moved. A model would give none of that, and a retention budget defended to a board committee needs all of it.
Discretionary spend
1 Sep 2025 to 31 Aug 2026. Dues excluded: they are contractual and post regardless of engagement.
$1,087
Where they go
Visits by facility across the full 24-month record.
Visit cadence
Sep 24 – Aug 26Event attendance
- Easter Egg Hunt 202618 Aug 2026attended
- Junior Golf Clinic 202630 Jul 2026attended
- President’s Cup 2026 (2)18 Jul 2026attended
- Family Pool Party 2026 (3)22 Jun 2026attended
- President’s Cup 202627 May 2026attended
What staff actually heard
Free-text notes from the front desk, email, surveys and committee. Real club intelligence is not only numeric.
- neutral1 Jul 2026Priya Venkat, Member Services · Email
Requested a paper statement in addition to the emailed one. Nothing outstanding.
- positive26 Jun 2026Priya Venkat, Member Services · Email
Introduced a colleague from the office who is now on the waitlist. Noted on file.