Social · member #1840
Marilyn Fenwick
Joined 29 Mar 2026 via waitlist
Churn risk
Why this score
Every signed term the model added, heaviest first. Baselines are this member’s own history rather than the club average — a social member who visits twice a month has not disengaged, and comparing them to a full-golf cadence would manufacture a crisis.
- Still in the first two years+10
Joined 0.4 years ago; early-tenure members churn at the highest rate.
This score is arithmetic, not a language model. It is produced by churn model v1.2.0 — a versioned, unit-tested weighted sum evaluated as at 31 Aug 2026, the last date the dataset covers. Run it twice and you get the same number; run it next quarter after a weight changes and the version tells you why it moved. A model would give none of that, and a retention budget defended to a board committee needs all of it.
Discretionary spend
1 Sep 2025 to 31 Aug 2026. Dues excluded: they are contractual and post regardless of engagement.
$1,260
Where they go
Visits by facility across the full 24-month record.
Visit cadence
Sep 24 – Aug 26Event attendance
- Easter Egg Hunt 202618 Aug 2026no show
- Back to School Splash 2026 (2)5 Jul 2026attended
- Back to School Splash 202623 Apr 2026attended
- Family Pool Party 2026 (2)16 Apr 2026attended
- Halloween Costume Party 2026 (3)3 Apr 2026attended
What staff actually heard
Free-text notes from the front desk, email, surveys and committee. Real club intelligence is not only numeric.
- positive14 Jul 2026Bethany Cruz, Front Desk · Phone
Introduced a colleague from the office who is now on the waitlist.