Junior executive · member #1642
Timothy Bradbury
Joined 27 Sep 2023 via waitlist
Churn risk
Why this score
Every signed term the model added, heaviest first. Baselines are this member’s own history rather than the club average — a social member who visits twice a month has not disengaged, and comparing them to a full-golf cadence would manufacture a crisis.
- Discretionary spend dropping+18
$275 in the last 90 days against a personal baseline of $664.
- Visit cadence falling+16
9 visits in the last 90 days against a personal baseline of 14.1 — down 36%.
This score is arithmetic, not a language model. It is produced by churn model v1.2.0 — a versioned, unit-tested weighted sum evaluated as at 31 Aug 2026, the last date the dataset covers. Run it twice and you get the same number; run it next quarter after a weight changes and the version tells you why it moved. A model would give none of that, and a retention budget defended to a board committee needs all of it.
Discretionary spend
1 Sep 2025 to 31 Aug 2026. Dues excluded: they are contractual and post regardless of engagement.
$2,522
Where they go
Visits by facility across the full 24-month record.
Visit cadence
Sep 24 – Aug 26Event attendance
- President’s Cup 2026 (2)18 Jul 2026no show
- Back to School Splash 2026 (2)5 Jul 2026attended
- Father-Son Scramble 2026 (2)25 Jun 2026attended
- Spring Four-Ball 20265 May 2026attended
- Back to School Splash 202623 Apr 2026attended
What staff actually heard
Free-text notes from the front desk, email, surveys and committee. Real club intelligence is not only numeric.
- neutral17 Aug 2026Anita Reyes, Front Desk · Phone
Wondered aloud whether the number of guests on Saturdays is squeezing members out.
- positive15 Jul 2026Dale Whitcombe, Head Golf Professional · Phone
Brought a prospective member to lunch unprompted and gave them the full tour.
- neutral30 Nov 2024Anita Reyes, Front Desk · Email
Asked whether the range would stay open during the aeration window. Passed to the golf shop.
- neutral22 Sep 2024Dale Whitcombe, Head Golf Professional · Front desk
Booked the family for Easter brunch, then moved to the later sitting. Assigned to member services.