Social · member #1631
Camila Bellweather
Joined 14 Aug 2023 via event
Churn risk
Why this score
Every signed term the model added, heaviest first. Baselines are this member’s own history rather than the club average — a social member who visits twice a month has not disengaged, and comparing them to a full-golf cadence would manufacture a crisis.
- Discretionary spend dropping+15
$481 in the last 90 days against a personal baseline of $974.
- Unresolved friction on record+8
1 negative interaction logged in the last six months.
- Bringing guests-9
5 guests hosted in 90 days — members who introduce others rarely leave.
This score is arithmetic, not a language model. It is produced by churn model v1.2.0 — a versioned, unit-tested weighted sum evaluated as at 31 Aug 2026, the last date the dataset covers. Run it twice and you get the same number; run it next quarter after a weight changes and the version tells you why it moved. A model would give none of that, and a retention budget defended to a board committee needs all of it.
Discretionary spend
1 Sep 2025 to 31 Aug 2026. Dues excluded: they are contractual and post regardless of engagement.
$3,315
Where they go
Visits by facility across the full 24-month record.
Visit cadence
Sep 24 – Aug 26Event attendance
- Junior Golf Clinic 202630 Jul 2026no show
- Back to School Splash 2026 (2)5 Jul 2026attended
- Father-Son Scramble 2026 (2)25 Jun 2026no show
- Family Pool Party 2026 (2)16 Apr 2026attended
- Junior Club Championship 20266 Apr 2026attended
What staff actually heard
Free-text notes from the front desk, email, surveys and committee. Real club intelligence is not only numeric.
- positive22 Jul 2026Dale Whitcombe, Head Golf Professional · Email
Their company has taken a table at the charity scramble for the third year.
- negative11 Jun 2026Grace Okonjo, Events Coordinator · Survey
Feels the food has become the weakest part of the membership and said so plainly.
- positive26 Jun 2025Raymond Petit, Controller · Survey
Described the club to a guest as the only place their whole family actually agrees on.
- positive7 Mar 2025Tom Halloran, Food and Beverage Manager · Committee
Their daughter made the high school team and they credited the junior programme for it.